Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.1 – 60.62

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.7 ±9.3

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 62.89Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 28.76Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 70.45Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.7 ±10.4

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 13.51Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 27.52Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 19.59Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9477, 7451, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9477, 7451, 3329

Auto

35.7 22%

Teleop

85.0 53%

Endgame

40.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11174, 3091, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11174, 3091, 3815

Auto

13.7 27%

Teleop

21.7 42%

Endgame

16.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score162.1pts

Blue projected score60.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.5
Score range: 23–200
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 211.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.7Season APEX160.7

35.7Auto13.7

85Teleop21.7

40.4Endgame16.1

39Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	17
teleop	116	7
endgame	23	6
foul	30	0
total	222	30

Result

Final score

222 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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