Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

283.54 – 296.33

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 280

Prediction missed · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.5 ±9.8

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 208.31Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 39.58Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 35.65Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.7 ±9.8

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 94.08Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 29.41Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 172.84Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1771, 6772, 9480

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1771, 6772, 9480

Auto

72.6 26%

Teleop

150.0 53%

Endgame

58.2 21%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4026, 5900, 4189

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4026, 5900, 4189

Auto

62.4 22%

Teleop

151.5 53%

Endgame

71.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score283.5pts

Blue projected score296.3pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.8
Score range: 246–334
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 684 vs event baseline 209.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.5Season APEX364.7

72.6Auto62.4

150Teleop151.5

58.2Endgame71.5

25Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	48
teleop	217	123
endgame	121	109
foul	0	0
total	404	280

Result

Final score

404 – 280

Prediction missed · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.