Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.82 – 108.96

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

172 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.9 ±9.8

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 15.1Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 91.45Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 78.27Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±10.4

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 23.96Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 46.5Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 38.5Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9522, 6829, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9522, 6829, 6023

Auto

17.0 9%

Teleop

110.2 61%

Endgame

53.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 5109, 6340

/ 100 compat

Projected

109 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 5109, 6340

Auto

28.2 29%

Teleop

54.3 56%

Endgame

14.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.75 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score184.8pts

Blue projected score109pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.9
Score range: 71–223
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 211.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.9Season APEX217.9

17Auto28.2

110.2Teleop54.3

53.4Endgame14.6

45Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	27
teleop	67	56
endgame	69	30
foul	0	0
total	172	113

Result

Final score

172 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 8.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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