Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.01 – 182.22

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.9 ±10.4

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 40.95Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 58.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 61.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.7 ±10.4

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 92.63Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 60.44Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 29.15Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 1683, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

161 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8577, 1683, 8736

Auto

28.9 19%

Teleop

82.3 54%

Endgame

41.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 8080, 5219

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8866, 8080, 5219

Auto

38.5 22%

Teleop

91.1 51%

Endgame

49.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score161pts

Blue projected score182.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.2
Score range: 123–220
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 212.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247.9Season APEX247.7

28.9Auto38.5

82.3Teleop91.1

41.1Endgame49.3

29Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	28
teleop	112	136
endgame	18	34
foul	0	10
total	166	208

Result

Final score

166 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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