Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

459.23 – 338.24

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 136.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 676.8 ±8.7

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 124.04Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 155.76Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 179.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438 ±9.8

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 20.85Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 234.34Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 83.05Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4188, 2974, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

459.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4188, 2974, 6919

Auto

67.9 15%

Teleop

252.3 57%

Endgame

124.5 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11174, 1833, 1746

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11174, 1833, 1746

Auto

70.9 21%

Teleop

205.6 62%

Endgame

56.9 17%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score459.2pts

Blue projected score338.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121
Score range: 300–497
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 211.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

676.8Season APEX438

67.9Auto70.9

252.3Teleop205.6

124.5Endgame56.9

34Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	111
teleop	100	140
endgame	91	0
foul	15	0
total	273	251

Result

Final score

273 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 136.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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