Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.09190.24

20%80%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96238

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 9.25Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 49.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 18.21Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 69.67Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 35Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 85.57Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 10482, 5608
36
/ 100 compat
Projected
77.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 11214, 10482, 5608
Auto
12.6 16%
Teleop
36.1 47%
Endgame
28.1 37%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 832, 1414, 6705
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
190.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 832, 1414, 6705
Auto
36.7 20%
Teleop
106.0 57%
Endgame
42.6 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.69 · Blue 1.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score77.1pts
Blue projected score190.2pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 22%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-113.1
Score range
39228
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 212.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.6Season APEX216.8
12.6Auto36.7
36.1Teleop106
28.1Endgame42.6
42Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3641
teleop45148
endgame1549
foul00
total96238

Result

Final score

96238

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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