Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.54 – 236.75

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.8 ±10.4

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 60.67Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 70.18Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 20.69Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.4 ±9.8

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 4.4Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 48.01Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 184.34Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 3329, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6925, 3329, 3815

Auto

20.4 15%

Teleop

75.8 57%

Endgame

37.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6905, 4112, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6905, 4112, 1002

Auto

69.2 29%

Teleop

111.9 47%

Endgame

54.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score151.5pts

Blue projected score236.8pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.2
Score range: 114–275
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 211.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.8Season APEX368.4

20.4Auto69.2

75.8Teleop111.9

37.1Endgame54.9

85Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	77
teleop	72	153
endgame	45	60
foul	0	0
total	163	290

Result

Final score

163 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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