Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.87 – 162.86

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±9.8

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 88.01Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 21.42Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 204.44Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.6 ±9.8

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 39.09Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 101.83Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 21.94Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4026, 3635, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4026, 3635, 1771

Auto

74.4 24%

Teleop

174.0 55%

Endgame

65.7 21%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6340, 1648, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6340, 1648, 3344

Auto

42.8 27%

Teleop

86.1 54%

Endgame

29.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score313.9pts

Blue projected score162.9pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151
Score range: 125–352
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 517 vs event baseline 211.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX265.6

74.4Auto42.8

174Teleop86.1

65.7Endgame29.7

24Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	16
teleop	213	90
endgame	51	50
foul	20	0
total	361	156

Result

Final score

361 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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