Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.43 – 122.36

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 73.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.5 ±10.4

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 28.49Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 21.91Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 26.03Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301.3 ±9.8

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 78.17Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 49.43Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -5.24Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5900, 9522, 11174

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5900, 9522, 11174

Auto

18.6 25%

Teleop

27.1 37%

Endgame

27.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 8080, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6829, 8080, 6910

Auto

23.6 19%

Teleop

71.0 57%

Endgame

29.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score76.4pts

Blue projected score122.4pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.9
Score range: 38–160
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 213.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

128.5Season APEX301.3

18.6Auto23.6

27.1Teleop71

27.9Endgame29.3

50Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	51
teleop	11	154
endgame	4	34
foul	15	0
total	46	239

Result

Final score

46 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 73.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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