Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

278.69 – 339.46

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

273 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.5 ±9.8

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 236.75Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 16.41Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 25.53Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.6 ±9.8

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 183.24Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 91.72Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 64.5Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 5608, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1833, 5608, 3091

Auto

73.5 26%

Teleop

153.2 55%

Endgame

51.0 18%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 8866, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6919, 8866, 8736

Auto

64.8 20%

Teleop

163.4 49%

Endgame

102.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score278.7pts

Blue projected score339.5pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.8
Score range: 241–377
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 211.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.5Season APEX406.6

73.5Auto64.8

153.2Teleop163.4

51Endgame102.9

31Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	68
teleop	142	173
endgame	56	71
foul	0	0
total	273	312

Result

Final score

273 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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