Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

176.06 – 233.43

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.5 ±10.4

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 75.5Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 48.7Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 51.86Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.6 ±9.8

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 6.99Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 86.57Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 139.87Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3329, 5109, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3329, 5109, 4112

Auto

41.6 24%

Teleop

95.6 56%

Endgame

34.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6905, 1746, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6905, 1746, 1261

Auto

48.9 22%

Teleop

136.1 61%

Endgame

38.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score176.1pts

Blue projected score233.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.4
Score range: 138–271
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 212.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.5Season APEX375.6

41.6Auto48.9

95.6Teleop136.1

34.8Endgame38.1

35Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	62
teleop	78	105
endgame	22	38
foul	0	0
total	133	205

Result

Final score

133 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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