Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
110.92 – 110.92
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Tie
Final score
235 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 124.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX -Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347 ±9.8
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX -Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3815, 5109, 1002
50
/ 100 compatProjected
110.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3815, 5109, 1002
Auto
33.3 30%
Teleop
55.5 50%
Endgame
22.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9480, 6829, 4026
50
/ 100 compatProjected
110.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 9480, 6829, 4026
Auto
33.3 30%
Teleop
55.5 50%
Endgame
22.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score110.9pts
Blue projected score110.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 71–151
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
379.8Season APEX347
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 35 |
| teleop | 118 | 127 |
| endgame | 32 | 68 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 235 | 235 |
Result
Final score
235 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 124.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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