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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.87319.33

55%45%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225265

Prediction missed · off by 81.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 70.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 192.16Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 71Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 178.44Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 50.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 90.6Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1683, 1002, 6925
88
/ 100 compat
Projected
333.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1683, 1002, 6925
Auto
72.6 22%
Teleop
166.4 50%
Endgame
90.6 27%
Strengths
  • · 1002 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4189, 10482, 6705
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
319.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4189, 10482, 6705
Auto
60.9 19%
Teleop
193.4 61%
Endgame
61.3 19%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score333.9pts
Blue projected score319.3pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
14.5
Score range
281372
Upset likelihood
45%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 212.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.6Season APEX374.8
72.6Auto60.9
166.4Teleop193.4
90.6Endgame61.3
97Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6424
teleop82145
endgame3471
foul4525
total225265

Result

Final score

225265

Prediction missed · off by 81.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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