Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
333.87 – 319.33
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
225 – 265
Prediction missed · off by 81.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 70.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 192.16Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 71Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 178.44Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 50.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 90.6Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1683, 1002, 6925
88
/ 100 compatProjected
333.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1683, 1002, 6925
Auto
72.6 22%
Teleop
166.4 50%
Endgame
90.6 27%
Strengths
- · 1002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4189, 10482, 6705
83
/ 100 compatProjected
319.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4189, 10482, 6705
Auto
60.9 19%
Teleop
193.4 61%
Endgame
61.3 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score333.9pts
Blue projected score319.3pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.5
- Score range
- 281–372
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
532.6Season APEX374.8
72.6Auto60.9
166.4Teleop193.4
90.6Endgame61.3
97Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 24 |
| teleop | 82 | 145 |
| endgame | 34 | 71 |
| foul | 45 | 25 |
| total | 225 | 265 |
Result
Final score
225 – 265
Prediction missed · off by 81.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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