Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.98 – 238.64

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±10.4

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 52.97Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 53.92Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 40.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.4 ±8.7

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 54.5Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 117.08Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 67.06Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 8080, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

147 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8577, 8080, 1414

Auto

21.6 15%

Teleop

95.7 64%

Endgame

31.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9477, 4188, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9477, 4188, 6829

Auto

17.2 7%

Teleop

130.8 57%

Endgame

81.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score147pts

Blue projected score238.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.7
Score range: 109–277
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 212.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.3Season APEX475.4

21.6Auto17.2

95.7Teleop130.8

31.6Endgame81.4

8Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	53
teleop	49	215
endgame	0	67
foul	15	0
total	97	335

Result

Final score

97 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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