Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.47 – 273.86

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.4 ±10.4

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 45.49Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 9.34Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 57.64Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408 ±9.8

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 33.31Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 33.1Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 207.45Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 6905, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.5 pts

~0.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4509, 6905, 5109

Auto

33.3 31%

Teleop

62.2 58%

Endgame

11.8 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3091, 5900, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3091, 5900, 1771

Auto

71.5 25%

Teleop

157.7 56%

Endgame

53.2 19%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.44 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score112.5pts

Blue projected score273.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -161.4
Score range: 73–313
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 215.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.4Season APEX408

33.3Auto71.5

62.2Teleop157.7

11.8Endgame53.2

136Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	73
teleop	19	66
endgame	17	79
foul	0	15
total	57	233

Result

Final score

57 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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