Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.18 – 182.29

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 200

Prediction missed · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.7 ±10.4

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 22.44Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 64.85Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 28.89Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.6 ±10.4

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 65.88Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 80.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 36.13Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6772, 3329, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6772, 3329, 6887

Auto

54.6 47%

Teleop

28.6 25%

Endgame

31.8 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 832, 1746, 6340

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 832, 1746, 6340

Auto

21.7 13%

Teleop

90.4 56%

Endgame

49.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score116.2pts

Blue projected score182.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.1
Score range: 77–221
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 215.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.7Season APEX250.6

54.6Auto21.7

28.6Teleop90.4

31.8Endgame49

28Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	50
teleop	95	114
endgame	73	36
foul	5	0
total	210	200

Result

Final score

210 – 200

Prediction missed · off by 55.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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