Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

182.45 – 199.98

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

115 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.3 ±10.4

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 51.56Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 70.96Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 59.93Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.8 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 115.52Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 24.75Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 59.71Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1414, 8736, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1414, 8736, 4112

Auto

36.6 20%

Teleop

109.2 60%

Endgame

37.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 5219, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

200 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1648, 5219, 9477

Auto

43.9 23%

Teleop

96.4 50%

Endgame

54.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score182.5pts

Blue projected score200pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.5
Score range: 143–239
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 215.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.3Season APEX303.8

36.6Auto43.9

109.2Teleop96.4

37.5Endgame54

6Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	33
teleop	57	62
endgame	31	59
foul	0	5
total	115	159

Result

Final score

115 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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