Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.57 – 329.3

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 84.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.8 ±10.4

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 83.47Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -0.27Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 96.37Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 480.2 ±9.8

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 161.87Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 79.67Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 87.76Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1683, 6910, 6705

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1683, 6910, 6705

Auto

39.9 23%

Teleop

104.8 60%

Endgame

31.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2974, 6925, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2974, 6925, 6023

Auto

38.5 12%

Teleop

184.8 56%

Endgame

106.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score179.6pts

Blue projected score329.3pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.7
Score range: 141–368
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 216.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221.8Season APEX480.2

39.9Auto38.5

104.8Teleop184.8

31Endgame106.1

100Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	51
teleop	43	128
endgame	12	46
foul	0	15
total	99	240

Result

Final score

99 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 84.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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