Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.73 – 254.14

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

395 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.7 ±9.3

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 179.22Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 175.95Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 41.56Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.1 ±9.3

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 106.1Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 130.09Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 17.95Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4189, 6919, 9480

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4189, 6919, 9480

Auto

80.0 21%

Teleop

214.8 56%

Endgame

89.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4188, 1261, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4188, 1261, 3635

Auto

46.9 21%

Teleop

103.6 46%

Endgame

74.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score396.7pts

Blue projected score254.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.6
Score range: 215–436
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 716 vs event baseline 214.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.7Season APEX515.1

80Auto46.9

214.8Teleop103.6

89.5Endgame74

63Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	59
teleop	220	205
endgame	140	57
foul	0	0
total	395	321

Result

Final score

395 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.