Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.95 – 96.63

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 77.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±9.8

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 53.84Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 3.43Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 31.68Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.7 ±10.4

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 21.12Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 66.5Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 9.01Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6829, 11174, 4509

/ 100 compat

Projected

89 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6829, 11174, 4509

Auto

-0.4 0%

Teleop

47.7 53%

Endgame

43.0 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9522, 832, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9522, 832, 6905

Auto

16.5 18%

Teleop

44.2 49%

Endgame

30.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score89pts

Blue projected score96.6pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.7
Score range: 50–136
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 215.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.2Season APEX153.7

-0.4Auto16.5

47.7Teleop44.2

43Endgame30

113Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	13
teleop	126	29
endgame	79	23
foul	0	15
total	228	80

Result

Final score

228 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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