Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.91 – 121.34

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413 ±9.3

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 146.27Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 19.47Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 55.17Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.5 ±10.4

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 10Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 43.82Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 67.52Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 3091, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1261, 3091, 9477

Auto

53.6 25%

Teleop

100.1 47%

Endgame

59.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9522, 6772, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9522, 6772, 8080

Auto

31.1 27%

Teleop

51.5 45%

Endgame

32.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score220.9pts

Blue projected score121.3pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.6
Score range: 80–262
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 230.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413Season APEX218.5

53.6Auto31.1

100.1Teleop51.5

59.6Endgame32.6

39Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	18
teleop	90	53
endgame	52	19
foul	15	0
total	191	90

Result

Final score

191 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.