Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

354.94 – 172.4

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

439 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 83.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.3 ±9.3

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 26.26Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 220.96Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 107.72Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.3 ±9.8

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 30.67Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 71.65Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 70.08Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5900, 1833, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5900, 1833, 1648

Auto

92.6 26%

Teleop

204.3 56%

Endgame

64.8 18%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6772, 9477, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6772, 9477, 8577

Auto

20.0 12%

Teleop

76.5 45%

Endgame

74.3 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score354.9pts

Blue projected score172.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182.5
Score range: 134–393
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 212.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.3Season APEX247.3

92.6Auto20

204.3Teleop76.5

64.8Endgame74.3

97Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	146	40
teleop	248	29
endgame	45	20
foul	0	0
total	439	89

Result

Final score

439 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 83.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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