Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.85 – 137.1

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

375 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.8 ±9.8

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 65.17Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 38.38Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 165.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.7 ±9.8

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 82.3Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 32.74Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 22.06Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 1414, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6925, 1414, 6919

Auto

44.7 17%

Teleop

138.7 52%

Endgame

82.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6023, 9480, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6023, 9480, 7451

Auto

34.4 26%

Teleop

60.5 45%

Endgame

38.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score268.9pts

Blue projected score137.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131.8
Score range: 98–308
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 214.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.8Season APEX299.7

44.7Auto34.4

138.7Teleop60.5

82.1Endgame38.6

77Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	205	112
endgame	114	15
foul	15	0
total	375	146

Result

Final score

375 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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