Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.93 – 239.1

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 28 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.4 ±9.8

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 129.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 27.77Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 17.82Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.2 ±9.8

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 56.77Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 100.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 82.04Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 6340, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1261, 6340, 3815

Auto

36.8 23%

Teleop

76.7 47%

Endgame

49.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 4188, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5109, 4188, 1683

Auto

37.0 16%

Teleop

139.3 62%

Endgame

49.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score174.9pts

Blue projected score239.1pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.2
Score range: 137–277
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 213.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.4Season APEX378.2

36.8Auto37

76.7Teleop139.3

49.1Endgame49.1

47Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	38
teleop	96	121
endgame	10	62
foul	65	30
total	219	251

Result

Final score

219 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 28 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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