Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

225.22 – 248.04

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

241 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 67.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.3 ±9.8

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 29.61Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 175.19Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 20.42Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.4 ±9.8

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 143.05Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 84.97Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 20.02Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5219, 4189, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5219, 4189, 3635

Auto

45.2 20%

Teleop

125.1 56%

Endgame

54.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2974, 8866, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

248 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2974, 8866, 3091

Auto

57.8 23%

Teleop

131.2 53%

Endgame

60.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score225.2pts

Blue projected score248pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.8
Score range: 187–286
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 608 vs event baseline 212.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.3Season APEX403.4

45.2Auto57.8

125.1Teleop131.2

54.3Endgame60.9

120Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	72
teleop	83	210
endgame	63	85
foul	30	0
total	241	367

Result

Final score

241 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 67.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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