Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.98 – 286.73

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.4 ±9.8

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX -2.62Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 63.22Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 29.38Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.2 ±9.8

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 190.47Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 86.23Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 10.03Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11174, 9477, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

90 pts

~0.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11174, 9477, 6887

Auto

22.4 25%

Teleop

35.3 39%

Endgame

33.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 6705, 5608

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1002, 6705, 5608

Auto

71.8 25%

Teleop

163.7 58%

Endgame

47.7 17%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score90pts

Blue projected score286.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196.7
Score range: 52–325
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 523 vs event baseline 211.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.4Season APEX389.2

22.4Auto71.8

35.3Teleop163.7

33.4Endgame47.7

58Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	89
teleop	68	200
endgame	62	88
foul	0	5
total	141	382

Result

Final score

141 – 382

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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