Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.02 – 171.36

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.2 ±9.8

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 22.6Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 34.42Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -7Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.3 ±9.8

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 57.14Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 80.81Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 33.41Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 9522, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

50 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11214, 9522, 6910

Auto

18.4 37%

Teleop

24.8 49%

Endgame

7.1 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3329, 1648, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3329, 1648, 8080

Auto

47.5 28%

Teleop

120.1 70%

Endgame

3.1 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.55 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score50pts

Blue projected score171.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.3
Score range: 12–209
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 211.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.2Season APEX306.3

18.4Auto47.5

24.8Teleop120.1

7.1Endgame3.1

78Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	66
teleop	8	177
endgame	18	83
foul	0	5
total	43	331

Result

Final score

43 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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