Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
139.67 – 202.04
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
26 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 103.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±10.4
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 21.08Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 93.68Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40Event APEX 24.91Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247 ±10.4
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 72.76Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 42.11Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 87.17Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3344, 8577, 6905
47
/ 100 compatProjected
139.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3344, 8577, 6905
Auto
13.4 9%
Teleop
79.6 56%
Endgame
48.8 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10482, 9480, 8736
59
/ 100 compatProjected
202 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 10482, 9480, 8736
Auto
51.2 26%
Teleop
109.3 56%
Endgame
36.3 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score139.7pts
Blue projected score202pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -62.4
- Score range
- 101–241
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
153Season APEX247
13.4Auto51.2
79.6Teleop109.3
48.8Endgame36.3
73Consistency8
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 24 |
| teleop | 4 | 65 |
| endgame | 8 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 26 | 108 |
Result
Final score
26 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 103.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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