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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.67202.04

32%68%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26108

Prediction correct · off by 103.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±10.4
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 21.08Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 93.68Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40Event APEX 24.91Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247 ±10.4
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 72.76Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 42.11Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 87.17Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3344, 8577, 6905
47
/ 100 compat
Projected
139.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3344, 8577, 6905
Auto
13.4 9%
Teleop
79.6 56%
Endgame
48.8 34%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10482, 9480, 8736
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
202 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 10482, 9480, 8736
Auto
51.2 26%
Teleop
109.3 56%
Endgame
36.3 18%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score139.7pts
Blue projected score202pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-62.4
Score range
101241
Upset likelihood
32%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 214.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153Season APEX247
13.4Auto51.2
79.6Teleop109.3
48.8Endgame36.3
73Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1424
teleop465
endgame819
foul00
total26108

Result

Final score

26108

Prediction correct · off by 103.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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