Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

216.61 – 284.8

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

269 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.6 ±9.8

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 18.01Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 17.38Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 181.22Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±9.8

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 221.04Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 30.34Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 33.42Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 3815, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4509, 3815, 1771

Auto

55.2 26%

Teleop

115.4 54%

Endgame

45.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1833, 6340, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1833, 6340, 1414

Auto

68.7 24%

Teleop

183.5 65%

Endgame

30.0 11%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score216.6pts

Blue projected score284.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.2
Score range: 179–323
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 575 vs event baseline 212.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.6Season APEX457.4

55.2Auto68.7

115.4Teleop183.5

45.1Endgame30

118Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	74
teleop	177	157
endgame	27	75
foul	15	0
total	269	306

Result

Final score

269 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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