Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

319.97 – 214.87

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

332 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.8 ±9.8

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 246.73Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 56.97Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 16.27Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.4 ±10.4

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 89.42Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 62.36Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 63.09Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 8736, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

320 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1833, 8736, 3635

Auto

81.5 26%

Teleop

185.4 59%

Endgame

49.3 16%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6705, 6925, 1746

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6705, 6925, 1746

Auto

37.2 18%

Teleop

127.0 62%

Endgame

40.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score320pts

Blue projected score214.9pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.1
Score range: 174–361
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 597 vs event baseline 230.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.8Season APEX352.4

81.5Auto37.2

185.4Teleop127

49.3Endgame40.9

4Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	10
teleop	167	184
endgame	71	71
foul	0	0
total	332	265

Result

Final score

332 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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