Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

241.79 – 333.44

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

252 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±9.8

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 31.41Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 148.17Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 62.21Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 547.2 ±9.3

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 28.76Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 165.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 139.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5219, 2974, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5219, 2974, 5109

Auto

53.9 23%

Teleop

135.6 59%

Endgame

40.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6772, 6919, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6772, 6919, 1261

Auto

65.1 20%

Teleop

157.6 49%

Endgame

98.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score241.8pts

Blue projected score333.4pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.6
Score range: 204–371
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 629 vs event baseline 210.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.7Season APEX547.2

53.9Auto65.1

135.6Teleop157.6

40.1Endgame98.1

112Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	109
teleop	132	110
endgame	83	128
foul	0	30
total	252	377

Result

Final score

252 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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