Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

212.69 – 231.98

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

286 – 125

Prediction missed · off by 90.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 427.2 ±9.8

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 1.04Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 156.68Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 54.97Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.6 ±10.4

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 105.74Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 96.24Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 30Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5608, 4189, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5608, 4189, 6925

Auto

34.4 16%

Teleop

121.4 56%

Endgame

61.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1746, 4112, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

232 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1746, 4112, 5900

Auto

26.4 12%

Teleop

144.1 64%

Endgame

56.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score212.7pts

Blue projected score232pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 175–270
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 210.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

427.2Season APEX214.6

34.4Auto26.4

121.4Teleop144.1

61.6Endgame56.1

126Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	34
teleop	157	63
endgame	58	28
foul	0	0
total	286	125

Result

Final score

286 – 125

Prediction missed · off by 90.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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