Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.72 – 332.05

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±10.4

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX -4.94Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 66.33Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 60.33Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.8 ±9.8

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 100.66Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 121.8Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 109.59Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3091, 6023, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.7 pts

~0.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3091, 6023, 832

Auto

28.1 25%

Teleop

37.0 33%

Endgame

46.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6705, 4188, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

332 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6705, 4188, 4026

Auto

50.8 16%

Teleop

177.4 55%

Endgame

94.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.39 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score121.7pts

Blue projected score332pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -210.3
Score range: 84–370
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 460 vs event baseline 210.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.4Season APEX397.8

28.1Auto50.8

37Teleop177.4

46.3Endgame94.2

94Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	31
teleop	123	156
endgame	75	38
foul	0	20
total	215	245

Result

Final score

215 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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