Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

207.29 – 144.35

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 106

Prediction missed · off by 83.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.5 ±9.8

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 80.19Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 30.82Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 96.28Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.4 ±9.8

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 31.93Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 33.17Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 79.25Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6829, 3635, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6829, 3635, 8866

Auto

33.4 16%

Teleop

106.8 52%

Endgame

66.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6887, 7451, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6887, 7451, 1683

Auto

42.0 29%

Teleop

64.4 45%

Endgame

36.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score207.3pts

Blue projected score144.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.9
Score range: 106–245
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 213.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.5Season APEX303.4

33.4Auto42

106.8Teleop64.4

66.2Endgame36

36Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	48
teleop	28	37
endgame	27	21
foul	0	0
total	78	106

Result

Final score

78 – 106

Prediction missed · off by 83.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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