Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.46 – 144.77

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 122

Prediction missed · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.5 ±9.3

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 33.64Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 61.29Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 24.53Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232 ±10.4

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 74.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 55.23Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 14.62Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9480, 9477, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9480, 9477, 11214

Auto

25.1 21%

Teleop

53.9 45%

Endgame

39.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10482, 3329, 4509

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10482, 3329, 4509

Auto

32.1 23%

Teleop

81.3 58%

Endgame

27.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score119.5pts

Blue projected score144.8pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.3
Score range: 80–184
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 215.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.5Season APEX232

25.1Auto32.1

53.9Teleop81.3

39.7Endgame27.2

41Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	37
teleop	68	61
endgame	42	24
foul	0	0
total	134	122

Result

Final score

134 – 122

Prediction missed · off by 18.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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