Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

361.47 – 62.7

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.4 ±9.3

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 146.71Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 38.14Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 176.62Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.2 ±10.4

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 22.66Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 18.13Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 21.91Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 6340, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2974, 6340, 1002

Auto

87.7 25%

Teleop

188.3 53%

Endgame

80.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1414, 6905, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~0.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1414, 6905, 6772

Auto

43.5 70%

Teleop

34.0 55%

Endgame

-15.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score361.5pts

Blue projected score62.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 298.8
Score range: 24–400
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 214.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.4Season APEX193.2

87.7Auto43.5

188.3Teleop34

80.1Endgame-15.4

87Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	26
teleop	182	70
endgame	91	37
foul	15	0
total	366	133

Result

Final score

366 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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