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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.64353.63

5%95%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49473

Prediction correct · off by 94 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 98.03Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 11.18Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX 8.43Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 157.35Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 75.25Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 121.03Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8736, 5608, 11174
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
117.6 pts
~0.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8736, 5608, 11174
Auto
25.3 21%
Teleop
61.1 51%
Endgame
32.5 27%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1771, 8577, 1261
86
/ 100 compat
Projected
353.6 pts
~2.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1771, 8577, 1261
Auto
75.9 22%
Teleop
195.4 56%
Endgame
76.0 22%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.39 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score117.6pts
Blue projected score353.6pts
Red win probability5%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 22%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-236
Score range
80392
Upset likelihood
5%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 522 vs event baseline 213.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.7Season APEX578.3
25.3Auto75.9
61.1Teleop195.4
32.5Endgame76
115Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1984
teleop24271
endgame6118
foul00
total49473

Result

Final score

49473

Prediction correct · off by 94 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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