Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

371.08 – 240.73

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.6 ±9.3

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 112.07Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 159.27Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 99.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.2 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 138.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 69.95Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 32.62Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4188, 4189, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4188, 4189, 4112

Auto

61.5 17%

Teleop

226.0 62%

Endgame

79.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 1648, 9522

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6919, 1648, 9522

Auto

56.7 24%

Teleop

111.7 48%

Endgame

66.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score371.1pts

Blue projected score240.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.4
Score range: 203–409
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 682 vs event baseline 210.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.6Season APEX419.2

61.5Auto56.7

226Teleop111.7

79.2Endgame66.4

52Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	48
teleop	188	204
endgame	116	49
foul	15	15
total	366	316

Result

Final score

366 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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