Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.52 – 209.01

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.4 ±10.4

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 64.65Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 63.08Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 105.79Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±9.8

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 118.53Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 25.04Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 65.44Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5109, 6023, 6705

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5109, 6023, 6705

Auto

41.9 19%

Teleop

121.7 55%

Endgame

57.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 6910, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

209 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8866, 6910, 7451

Auto

53.3 27%

Teleop

101.6 51%

Endgame

43.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score233.5pts

Blue projected score209pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.5
Score range: 171–272
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 211.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.4Season APEX281.5

41.9Auto53.3

121.7Teleop101.6

57.4Endgame43.9

79Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	37
teleop	157	4
endgame	19	11
foul	15	0
total	248	52

Result

Final score

248 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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