Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.49 – 93.81

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.2 ±10.4

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 27.13Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 26.83Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 39.53Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.4 ±10.4

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 33.71Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 56.33Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 3.77Rank 43Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3344, 3635, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3344, 3635, 5900

Auto

15.8 16%

Teleop

32.6 33%

Endgame

50.2 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 832, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8080, 832, 3815

Auto

26.2 31%

Teleop

43.2 51%

Endgame

14.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score93.5pts

Blue projected score93.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.3
Score range: 54–133
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 214.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.2Season APEX202.4

15.8Auto26.2

32.6Teleop43.2

50.2Endgame14.6

122Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	15
teleop	26	51
endgame	19	49
foul	0	0
total	61	115

Result

Final score

61 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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