Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

196.87 – 425.86

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

377 – 491

Prediction correct · off by 122.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.3 ±10.4

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 89.43Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 42.83Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 64.61Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 569.6 ±9.3

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 52.27Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 240.79Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 132.8Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8866, 10482, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8866, 10482, 1683

Auto

43.9 22%

Teleop

105.2 54%

Endgame

47.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4112, 1771, 2974

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4112, 1771, 2974

Auto

88.9 21%

Teleop

247.5 58%

Endgame

88.6 21%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score196.9pts

Blue projected score425.9pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -229
Score range: 156–467
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 868 vs event baseline 230.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.3Season APEX569.6

43.9Auto88.9

105.2Teleop247.5

47.2Endgame88.6

55Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	96
teleop	236	305
endgame	83	90
foul	0	0
total	377	491

Result

Final score

377 – 491

Prediction correct · off by 122.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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