Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.28 – 198.17

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

437 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532 ±9.3

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 4.58Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 51.88Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 190.82Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±10.4

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 52.03Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 29.66Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 116.48Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6887, 6829, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6887, 6829, 1833

Auto

71.1 28%

Teleop

144.5 57%

Endgame

36.1 14%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6925, 5219, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6925, 5219, 4026

Auto

23.8 12%

Teleop

114.8 58%

Endgame

59.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score247.3pts

Blue projected score198.2pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.1
Score range: 160–285
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 667 vs event baseline 211.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532Season APEX343.8

71.1Auto23.8

144.5Teleop114.8

36.1Endgame59.1

113Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	25
teleop	257	96
endgame	103	104
foul	0	5
total	437	230

Result

Final score

437 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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