Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.88 – 21.65

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

211 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.4 ±10.4

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX -0.47Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 85.79Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 87.56Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.9 ±9.8

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 24.66Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 3.25Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX -6.26Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5608, 1746, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5608, 1746, 1683

Auto

23.2 14%

Teleop

103.3 63%

Endgame

37.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6340, 11214, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6340, 11214, 3091

Auto

10.5 51%

Teleop

-13.0 0%

Endgame

23.1 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score172.9pts

Blue projected score21.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.2
Score range: -16–211
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 212.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.4Season APEX239.9

23.2Auto10.5

103.3Teleop-13

37Endgame23.1

112Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	23
teleop	167	72
endgame	26	24
foul	0	0
total	211	119

Result

Final score

211 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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