Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
149.13 – 235.71
25%75%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
147 – 427
Prediction correct · off by 96.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 103.31Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 22.7Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 23.12Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 557.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 71.98Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 9.39Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 154.34Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4112, 4509, 6772
52
/ 100 compatProjected
149.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4112, 4509, 6772
Auto
21.6 16%
Teleop
74.9 55%
Endgame
40.8 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4188, 9480, 1002
75
/ 100 compatProjected
235.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4188, 9480, 1002
Auto
59.0 25%
Teleop
116.2 50%
Endgame
58.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score149.1pts
Blue projected score235.7pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample210alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -86.6
- Score range
- 111–274
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
213.6Season APEX557.2
21.6Auto59
74.9Teleop116.2
40.8Endgame58.6
107Consistency112
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 93 |
| teleop | 61 | 224 |
| endgame | 50 | 90 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 147 | 427 |
Result
Final score
147 – 427
Prediction correct · off by 96.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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