Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.67 – 258.42

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

229 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.5 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 71.59Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 73.45Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 62.63Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.2 ±9.8

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 146.07Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 88.05Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 24.3Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 8577, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1648, 8577, 7451

Auto

39.1 20%

Teleop

113.1 57%

Endgame

47.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1771, 6705, 9522

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1771, 6705, 9522

Auto

48.3 18%

Teleop

158.4 60%

Endgame

55.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score207.7pts

Blue projected score258.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.8
Score range: 170–296
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 208.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.5Season APEX402.2

39.1Auto48.3

113.1Teleop158.4

47.2Endgame55.9

99Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	82
teleop	115	190
endgame	71	52
foul	0	5
total	229	329

Result

Final score

229 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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