Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.49 – 237.5

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 101 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.6 ±9.8

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 13.86Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 128.68Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 3.95Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.7 ±9.8

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 57.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 99.98Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 79.8Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6910, 2974, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6910, 2974, 6905

Auto

50.4 35%

Teleop

84.8 58%

Endgame

9.8 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3635, 9477, 10482

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3635, 9477, 10482

Auto

29.4 13%

Teleop

125.4 53%

Endgame

79.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.7 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score146.5pts

Blue projected score237.5pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91
Score range: 108–276
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 210.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.6Season APEX250.7

50.4Auto29.4

84.8Teleop125.4

9.8Endgame79.6

75Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	20
teleop	118	72
endgame	42	19
foul	0	0
total	222	111

Result

Final score

222 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 101 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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