Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.77 – 312.4

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±10.4

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 13.94Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 69.33Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX -12.5Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.4 ±9.3

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 98.43Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 145.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 68.72Rank 14Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3344, 1746, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3344, 1746, 3091

Auto

18.2 31%

Teleop

53.9 90%

Endgame

-12.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1683, 6919, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1683, 6919, 6829

Auto

34.6 11%

Teleop

183.7 60%

Endgame

89.0 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score70.8pts

Blue projected score312.4pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.6
Score range: 33–350
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 210.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.1Season APEX492.4

18.2Auto34.6

53.9Teleop183.7

-12.5Endgame89

129Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	47
teleop	73	112
endgame	51	111
foul	0	0
total	145	270

Result

Final score

145 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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