Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.99 – 133.69

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.1 ±10.4

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 8.86Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 32.09Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 51.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.8 ±10.4

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 76.67Rank 30Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 2.91Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 54.11Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1414, 5219, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

92 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1414, 5219, 3329

Auto

32.8 36%

Teleop

52.9 59%

Endgame

4.5 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5109, 11174, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5109, 11174, 6925

Auto

24.4 19%

Teleop

75.5 60%

Endgame

26.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score92pts

Blue projected score133.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: 54–172
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 212.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.1Season APEX271.8

32.8Auto24.4

52.9Teleop75.5

4.5Endgame26.9

112Consistency170

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	94	83
endgame	11	54
foul	0	0
total	141	162

Result

Final score

141 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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