Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

153.41 – 363.96

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 395

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.3 ±9.8

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 27.95Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 95.6Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 29.86Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.3 ±9.8

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 57.86Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 126.48Rank 11Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 179.62Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8080, 1261, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8080, 1261, 5900

Auto

39.3 27%

Teleop

78.5 53%

Endgame

29.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6023, 4026, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

364 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6023, 4026, 1833

Auto

85.1 24%

Teleop

198.2 56%

Endgame

73.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score153.4pts

Blue projected score364pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -210.5
Score range: 115–402
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 208.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.3Season APEX487.3

39.3Auto85.1

78.5Teleop198.2

29.6Endgame73.4

83Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	82
teleop	109	220
endgame	69	93
foul	0	0
total	223	395

Result

Final score

223 – 395

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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