Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.1 – 117.57

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.6 ±10.4

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 91.87Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 42.38Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 35.85Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.9 ±9.3

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 10.98Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 1.26Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 105.33Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 6887, 6340

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6023, 6887, 6340

Auto

26.4 16%

Teleop

81.2 49%

Endgame

57.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11174, 11214, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11174, 11214, 1648

Auto

29.7 25%

Teleop

58.6 49%

Endgame

31.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.57 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score170.1pts

Blue projected score117.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample210alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.5
Score range: 77–211
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 230.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.6Season APEX246.9

26.4Auto29.7

81.2Teleop58.6

57.1Endgame31

86Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	44
teleop	51	61
endgame	52	34
foul	15	0
total	141	139

Result

Final score

141 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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